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Curious that Safari and Opera users are less inclined to patch to the latest versions. Is this an interface question? I think Firefox does a good job of respecting the user with new updates, although I gather not everyone likes this approach.
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Timothy Prickett Morgan's article is coy about just how tounge in cheek it really is – but one thing he overlooks, and Oracle are unlikely to in their acquisition of Sun is just how important a supported stack is. Yes, Sun's software is open source, no, that does not mean that you can simply undercut existing suppliers in their installed base: Oracle have already seen this movie, it was called Unbreakable Linux and Red Hat is still the dominant enterprise Linux vendor.
I think it’s pretty obvious that the sub-optimal upgrade systems in Opera and Safari are the main reasons their users aren’t upgrading as quickly as Firefox users.